Jennings County
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #27
Brown County Semi-State Rank #6
Brown County Regional Rank #2
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.8%
Advance to State Finals 80.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invite South Dearborn Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/7 9/14 9/17 9/21 9/27 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 392 370 359 407 379 477 371 404 487
Team Adjusted Rating 370 359 407 379 477 371 404 487
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invite South Dearborn Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
57  Carter Leak 12 16:23 16:20 16:20 16:20 16:20 16:37 16:32 16:21 16:27 16:32
100  Gavin Hendrix 11 16:36 16:43 16:37 17:33 16:55 17:11 16:34 16:49 16:24 16:43
161  Lane Elsner 10 16:51 16:53 16:34 16:36 16:37 16:52 17:02 16:45 17:52
343  Drew Stroud 11 17:18 16:55 17:11 18:00 17:11 17:37 17:08 17:26 17:14
481  AJ Siener 12 17:33 17:35 17:31 17:17 17:28 17:39 17:15 17:31 18:24
724  Ian Campbell 10 17:54 18:11 17:48 17:44 18:13 17:46 17:39 17:52 18:08
748  Jason Gasper 12 17:57 17:39 18:12 17:09 19:06 17:55
822  Logan Mcintosh 10 18:03 18:10 18:22 18:13 17:49 18:02 17:57 18:11 17:56
983  Jenn Rameriz 12 18:16 18:27 18:12 17:49 18:21 18:27
1,017  Eli Wahlman 9 18:19 18:35 18:20 18:00 18:19 18:21
1,036  Aidan Ernstes 10 18:20 18:16 17:58 18:19 18:36 18:31
1,321  Noah McFall 9 18:40 18:57 18:30 18:49 18:28 18:45
1,527  Eddie Ray 9 18:54 19:30 18:33 18:26 19:05 19:05
1,563  Brenden Baker 10 18:56 18:24 19:14 19:07 18:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.3% 19.8 453 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.9 3.4 6.0 6.7 8.5 9.7 11.1 11.3 10.1 6.2
Semi-State 100% 5.4 174 0.1 0.5 7.2 17.3 26.5 28.9 13.0 5.3 1.2 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.1 57 0.6 87.5 12.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 26 88.2 11.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Leak 97.5% 58.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 87.1% 96.8%
Gavin Hendrix 86.0% 85.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 28.9% 70.0%
Lane Elsner 80.7% 118.6 2.0% 25.4%
Drew Stroud 80.3% 170.7 0.0% 0.2%
AJ Siener 80.3% 187.9 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Campbell 80.3% 200.3 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Gasper 80.3% 201.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Leak 100% 10.6 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.2 4.2 6.4 6.8 7.2 8.0 6.5 7.5 6.9 6.4 5.6 5.2 3.5 3.1 2.6 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.9 100.0%
Gavin Hendrix 100% 19.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.9 2.0 2.7 2.5 3.9 4.0 4.8 3.9 5.3 5.5 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.5 3.3 3.2 3.8 3.6 100.0%
Lane Elsner 100% 33.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.2 3.0 100.0%
Drew Stroud 100% 67.9 0.1 0.1 100.0%
AJ Siener 100% 89.1 99.0%
Ian Campbell 100% 119.0 70.2%
Jason Gasper 100% 123.2 62.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Leak 100% 3.1 4.3 20.2 24.5 19.6 13.6 7.3 5.0 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Gavin Hendrix 100% 6.1 1.8 5.8 10.3 15.4 15.2 12.7 11.8 10.6 7.0 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Lane Elsner 100% 10.3 0.6 1.7 4.0 7.0 8.8 10.1 14.4 13.3 13.9 11.3 7.7 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Drew Stroud 100% 16.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.2 3.0 7.2 9.9 13.9 15.4 12.0 11.1 8.5 6.3 4.1 2.3 1.9 1.2 100.0%
AJ Siener 100% 21.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 3.7 5.7 8.8 9.7 10.3 9.9 10.9 9.3 7.6 100.0%
Ian Campbell 100% 30.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.7 4.4 100.0%
Jason Gasper 100% 31.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Leak 1.0 60.5 31.3 7.3 1.0 0.1
Gavin Hendrix 2.4 3.6 29.3 47.4 17.4 2.2 0.2
Lane Elsner 4.0 1.3 9.0 40.8 43.4 4.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
Drew Stroud 6.4 0.2 4.5 35.9 22.4 14.6 11.4 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
AJ Siener 9.5 0.1 1.3 8.8 13.8 16.3 18.3 18.6 10.8 5.8 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1
Ian Campbell 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.6 9.2 11.9 13.8 13.2 13.4 10.0 8.2 6.3 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
Jason Gasper 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.9 2.7 5.9 9.8 12.7 12.7 12.6 13.2 11.7 7.5 5.7 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1